Baseball Projection.com

Jeremy Accardo

Age: 27 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 49 50 4 17 36 2 24 22 4.04 48 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 45 17 24 5 3 6.00
20th 39 46 17 27 5 3 5.54
30th 42 48 17 30 5 2 4.93
40th 46 49 17 33 4 2 4.30
50th 49 50 17 36 4 2 4.04
60th 50 50 16 38 4 2 3.78
70th 52 49 16 40 3 1 3.29
80th 54 47 15 42 2 1 2.83
90th 56 46 14 45 2 1 2.57

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 49 50 17 38 4 2 4.00 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 28 44 45 15 34 3 2 3.91 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 29 40 41 13 30 3 1 3.87 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 30 36 37 12 27 3 1 3.97 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 31 32 33 11 24 2 1 3.88 1.0 0.3 1.8
2014 32 29 30 10 21 2 1 3.95 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.