Jeremy Affeldt
Age: 30
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
4 |
79 |
75 |
6 |
32 |
69 |
3 |
36 |
33 |
3.76 |
69 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
66 |
30 |
49 |
7 |
4 |
5.19 |
| 20th |
64 |
68 |
30 |
54 |
7 |
4 |
4.78 |
| 30th |
69 |
71 |
31 |
59 |
7 |
3 |
4.43 |
| 40th |
74 |
73 |
31 |
64 |
6 |
3 |
4.01 |
| 50th |
79 |
75 |
32 |
69 |
6 |
3 |
3.76 |
| 60th |
81 |
74 |
31 |
72 |
5 |
3 |
3.44 |
| 70th |
83 |
74 |
31 |
74 |
5 |
2 |
3.25 |
| 80th |
86 |
73 |
30 |
78 |
4 |
2 |
2.93 |
| 90th |
89 |
71 |
28 |
82 |
3 |
1 |
2.53 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
78 |
76 |
32 |
66 |
7 |
3 |
3.98 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
31 |
70 |
68 |
30 |
58 |
6 |
3 |
3.99 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
32 |
63 |
62 |
27 |
52 |
5 |
2 |
3.98 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
33 |
56 |
56 |
25 |
45 |
5 |
2 |
4.18 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
34 |
51 |
50 |
23 |
40 |
4 |
2 |
4.03 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
35 |
45 |
46 |
21 |
35 |
4 |
2 |
4.37 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.