Baseball Projection.com

Marco Albano

Age: 25 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 37 42 6 22 23 2 26 24 5.84 34 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 26 38 21 14 7 3 9.35
20th 29 39 21 17 7 3 8.07
30th 31 41 21 19 7 2 7.55
40th 34 41 22 21 6 2 6.62
50th 37 42 22 23 6 2 5.84
60th 38 41 21 24 5 2 5.21
70th 39 41 21 26 5 1 4.85
80th 41 39 20 28 4 1 4.17
90th 43 38 18 30 3 1 3.56

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 37 41 22 24 6 2 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 33 37 20 22 6 2 5.99 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 30 34 17 20 5 2 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 27 31 15 17 5 2 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 24 27 14 16 4 1 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 22 25 12 14 4 1 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.