Mario Alvarez
Age: 25
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
76 |
86 |
15 |
47 |
41 |
6 |
57 |
53 |
6.28 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
55 |
78 |
44 |
26 |
17 |
7 |
9.33 |
| 20th |
60 |
79 |
45 |
30 |
16 |
7 |
8.40 |
| 30th |
65 |
82 |
45 |
34 |
16 |
7 |
7.62 |
| 40th |
71 |
84 |
46 |
37 |
15 |
6 |
6.72 |
| 50th |
76 |
86 |
47 |
41 |
15 |
6 |
6.28 |
| 60th |
79 |
85 |
46 |
43 |
14 |
5 |
5.70 |
| 70th |
81 |
84 |
45 |
46 |
13 |
5 |
5.22 |
| 80th |
85 |
82 |
43 |
49 |
11 |
4 |
4.55 |
| 90th |
89 |
79 |
41 |
53 |
10 |
3 |
3.94 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
75 |
88 |
47 |
38 |
14 |
6 |
6.43 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
68 |
80 |
41 |
34 |
13 |
5 |
6.39 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
61 |
72 |
37 |
30 |
12 |
5 |
6.49 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
55 |
66 |
32 |
27 |
11 |
4 |
6.51 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
50 |
59 |
29 |
24 |
9 |
4 |
6.29 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
45 |
53 |
26 |
21 |
9 |
4 |
6.43 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.