Brett Anderson
Age: 21
Team: OAK
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
84 |
86 |
13 |
36 |
61 |
4 |
48 |
44 |
4.71 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
62 |
78 |
35 |
41 |
15 |
5 |
6.97 |
| 20th |
67 |
80 |
35 |
46 |
14 |
5 |
6.31 |
| 30th |
73 |
82 |
35 |
51 |
14 |
4 |
5.67 |
| 40th |
79 |
84 |
36 |
56 |
13 |
4 |
5.01 |
| 50th |
84 |
86 |
36 |
61 |
13 |
4 |
4.71 |
| 60th |
87 |
85 |
35 |
64 |
12 |
4 |
4.34 |
| 70th |
90 |
84 |
34 |
67 |
11 |
3 |
4.00 |
| 80th |
93 |
82 |
32 |
71 |
10 |
2 |
3.48 |
| 90th |
97 |
79 |
30 |
76 |
8 |
2 |
2.88 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
84 |
86 |
37 |
67 |
13 |
4 |
4.78 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
76 |
77 |
33 |
62 |
11 |
3 |
4.61 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
23 |
69 |
69 |
29 |
57 |
10 |
3 |
4.53 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2012 |
24 |
62 |
62 |
25 |
53 |
9 |
3 |
4.50 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
| 2013 |
25 |
56 |
56 |
22 |
48 |
8 |
2 |
4.42 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
26 |
50 |
51 |
20 |
43 |
8 |
2 |
4.66 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.