Baseball Projection.com

Matt Anderson

Age: 32 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 24 29 5 14 16 1 19 18 6.75 23 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 17 26 14 10 6 2 10.06
20th 19 27 14 12 5 1 9.00
30th 21 27 14 13 5 1 7.71
40th 22 28 14 15 5 1 7.36
50th 24 29 14 16 5 1 6.75
60th 24 29 14 17 5 1 6.75
70th 25 28 13 18 4 1 5.76
80th 26 28 13 19 4 0 5.19
90th 28 26 12 21 3 0 3.86

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 24 27 14 17 4 1 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 33 22 25 13 15 4 1 6.00 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 34 19 22 12 13 3 1 6.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 17 20 11 12 3 1 6.38 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 15 18 10 10 3 1 6.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 14 16 9 9 2 1 6.00 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.