Baseball Projection.com

Steve Andrade

Age: 31 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 45 44 6 28 33 2 27 25 5 41 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 40 26 22 7 3 7.88
20th 36 41 26 25 7 2 6.50
30th 39 41 27 28 6 2 5.54
40th 42 43 27 30 6 2 5.36
50th 45 44 28 33 6 2 5.00
60th 46 44 28 34 6 2 4.70
70th 47 43 27 36 5 2 4.21
80th 49 42 26 38 4 1 3.49
90th 51 41 25 41 4 1 3.35

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 45 45 27 35 6 2 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 32 40 40 25 31 5 2 4.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 33 36 36 23 27 5 2 5.13 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 34 32 33 21 24 4 1 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 35 29 30 19 21 4 1 5.29 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 36 26 27 18 18 4 1 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.