Jose Arredondo
Age: 25
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
3 |
72 |
68 |
7 |
30 |
67 |
3 |
34 |
31 |
3.88 |
62 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
54 |
61 |
28 |
47 |
8 |
4 |
5.50 |
| 20th |
58 |
63 |
29 |
52 |
8 |
3 |
5.12 |
| 30th |
63 |
65 |
29 |
57 |
8 |
3 |
4.57 |
| 40th |
68 |
66 |
29 |
62 |
7 |
3 |
4.10 |
| 50th |
72 |
68 |
30 |
67 |
7 |
3 |
3.88 |
| 60th |
75 |
67 |
29 |
70 |
6 |
3 |
3.48 |
| 70th |
77 |
67 |
29 |
73 |
6 |
2 |
3.39 |
| 80th |
79 |
65 |
28 |
76 |
5 |
2 |
2.96 |
| 90th |
82 |
64 |
26 |
80 |
4 |
1 |
2.52 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
73 |
66 |
31 |
71 |
7 |
3 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
| 2010 |
26 |
66 |
60 |
27 |
64 |
7 |
2 |
3.78 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
| 2011 |
27 |
59 |
54 |
24 |
57 |
6 |
2 |
3.78 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
53 |
49 |
21 |
51 |
5 |
2 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
29 |
48 |
45 |
19 |
45 |
5 |
2 |
3.89 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
30 |
43 |
40 |
17 |
40 |
4 |
2 |
3.79 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.