Baseball Projection.com

Rick Asadoorian

Age: 28 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 34 38 6 19 20 2 24 22 5.82 31 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 24 35 18 13 7 3 9.38
20th 27 36 18 15 7 2 8.00
30th 29 36 19 16 6 2 6.83
40th 31 37 19 18 6 2 6.39
50th 34 38 19 20 6 2 5.82
60th 35 38 18 21 6 2 5.40
70th 36 37 18 22 5 2 4.75
80th 38 36 17 24 4 1 4.26
90th 40 34 16 26 3 1 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 33 39 19 18 6 2 6.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 30 36 17 16 5 1 6.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 27 32 15 15 5 1 6.13 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 24 29 14 13 4 1 6.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 22 26 13 11 4 1 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 19 23 12 10 3 1 6.36 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.