Baseball Projection.com

Jonathan Ash

Age: 26 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
116	376	41	102	21	2	2	32	5	3	32	36	3	0.271	0.333	0.354	-16	2B	4.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-15	0	201	48	8	1	0	13	23	0	0.239	0.285	0.289
20th	-16	0	246	61	11	1	1	17	27	1	0.248	0.299	0.313
30th	-14	0	290	74	14	1	1	22	30	1	0.255	0.310	0.321
40th	-14	0	333	88	17	2	2	27	33	2	0.264	0.323	0.345
50th	-11	2	376	102	21	2	2	32	36	3	0.271	0.333	0.354
60th	-6	8	406	114	24	3	3	36	37	4	0.281	0.345	0.377
70th	-3	12	435	126	27	4	4	41	38	5	0.290	0.358	0.398
80th	2	19	464	139	31	5	5	46	38	6	0.300	0.370	0.420
90th	10	28	494	153	36	6	6	51	38	7	0.310	0.382	0.443

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	377	102	21	3	2	5	3	31	36	3	0.271	0.331	0.358
2010	27	376	101	21	2	2	4	3	32	36	3	0.269	0.331	0.351
2011	28	375	99	21	2	2	4	2	33	36	3	0.264	0.328	0.347
2012	29	375	98	20	2	2	4	2	33	36	3	0.261	0.326	0.341
2013	30	355	93	19	2	2	4	2	32	34	3	0.262	0.328	0.344
2014	31	337	87	18	1	2	3	2	31	32	3	0.258	0.326	0.335

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-11	-10	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.6	7
Good (+7 runs)	1.2	5.3
Average (0 runs)	0.9	4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	4

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.