Tony Bajoczky
Age: 24
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
5 |
77 |
95 |
15 |
27 |
34 |
4 |
54 |
50 |
5.84 |
15 |
15 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
55 |
87 |
27 |
20 |
18 |
6 |
9.16 |
| 20th |
61 |
89 |
27 |
24 |
17 |
5 |
8.11 |
| 30th |
66 |
91 |
27 |
27 |
16 |
5 |
7.23 |
| 40th |
72 |
93 |
27 |
31 |
16 |
4 |
6.50 |
| 50th |
77 |
95 |
27 |
34 |
15 |
4 |
5.84 |
| 60th |
80 |
94 |
26 |
36 |
14 |
3 |
5.29 |
| 70th |
83 |
91 |
25 |
39 |
12 |
3 |
4.66 |
| 80th |
86 |
89 |
23 |
42 |
10 |
2 |
4.08 |
| 90th |
90 |
85 |
21 |
46 |
8 |
1 |
3.30 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
77 |
94 |
27 |
37 |
16 |
4 |
5.89 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
69 |
85 |
24 |
33 |
14 |
4 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
63 |
77 |
21 |
30 |
13 |
3 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
56 |
69 |
19 |
27 |
12 |
3 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
51 |
62 |
16 |
24 |
10 |
3 |
5.70 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
46 |
56 |
15 |
21 |
9 |
3 |
5.77 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.