Collin Balester
Age: 23
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
9 |
138 |
150 |
21 |
53 |
97 |
7 |
82 |
76 |
4.96 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
105 |
129 |
48 |
70 |
21 |
8 |
6.26 |
| 20th |
114 |
134 |
49 |
77 |
21 |
7 |
5.76 |
| 30th |
122 |
139 |
50 |
84 |
21 |
7 |
5.46 |
| 40th |
130 |
145 |
52 |
90 |
21 |
7 |
5.19 |
| 50th |
138 |
150 |
53 |
97 |
21 |
7 |
4.96 |
| 60th |
142 |
150 |
52 |
100 |
20 |
7 |
4.69 |
| 70th |
146 |
149 |
52 |
104 |
19 |
6 |
4.38 |
| 80th |
150 |
148 |
51 |
108 |
18 |
5 |
4.08 |
| 90th |
154 |
146 |
49 |
113 |
16 |
5 |
3.74 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 11 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
138 |
151 |
53 |
90 |
21 |
7 |
5.00 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
| 2010 |
24 |
125 |
135 |
47 |
84 |
19 |
6 |
4.90 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
25 |
112 |
122 |
41 |
75 |
17 |
6 |
4.93 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2012 |
26 |
101 |
111 |
36 |
67 |
16 |
5 |
4.98 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
| 2013 |
27 |
91 |
100 |
32 |
60 |
14 |
5 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.7 |
| 2014 |
28 |
82 |
90 |
28 |
54 |
13 |
4 |
4.93 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.