Grant Balfour
Age: 31
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
2 |
64 |
47 |
5 |
30 |
80 |
2 |
22 |
20 |
2.81 |
55 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
47 |
43 |
28 |
57 |
6 |
3 |
4.40 |
| 20th |
52 |
44 |
28 |
63 |
6 |
2 |
3.81 |
| 30th |
56 |
44 |
29 |
69 |
5 |
2 |
3.38 |
| 40th |
60 |
46 |
29 |
75 |
5 |
2 |
3.15 |
| 50th |
64 |
47 |
30 |
80 |
5 |
2 |
2.81 |
| 60th |
65 |
47 |
29 |
83 |
5 |
2 |
2.77 |
| 70th |
67 |
45 |
29 |
86 |
4 |
2 |
2.55 |
| 80th |
70 |
44 |
28 |
90 |
3 |
1 |
2.06 |
| 90th |
72 |
43 |
27 |
94 |
3 |
1 |
1.88 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
2.1 |
9.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
31 |
64 |
47 |
29 |
84 |
5 |
2 |
2.89 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
10.1 |
| 2010 |
32 |
57 |
42 |
27 |
74 |
4 |
2 |
2.89 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
9.4 |
| 2011 |
33 |
51 |
39 |
25 |
66 |
4 |
1 |
3.07 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
7.7 |
| 2012 |
34 |
46 |
35 |
23 |
58 |
4 |
1 |
3.15 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
7.1 |
| 2013 |
35 |
41 |
32 |
21 |
51 |
3 |
1 |
3.17 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
6.8 |
| 2014 |
36 |
37 |
29 |
19 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
3.25 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
6.1 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.