Michael Ballard
Age: 25
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
7 |
112 |
136 |
16 |
45 |
61 |
4 |
74 |
68 |
5.46 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
84 |
118 |
42 |
42 |
17 |
5 |
7.29 |
| 20th |
91 |
123 |
42 |
47 |
17 |
5 |
6.73 |
| 30th |
98 |
127 |
43 |
52 |
16 |
4 |
6.24 |
| 40th |
105 |
132 |
44 |
56 |
16 |
4 |
5.83 |
| 50th |
112 |
136 |
45 |
61 |
16 |
4 |
5.46 |
| 60th |
115 |
135 |
44 |
64 |
15 |
4 |
5.17 |
| 70th |
118 |
135 |
43 |
67 |
14 |
3 |
4.88 |
| 80th |
122 |
133 |
42 |
70 |
13 |
3 |
4.43 |
| 90th |
126 |
131 |
40 |
75 |
11 |
2 |
4.00 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
113 |
132 |
45 |
66 |
15 |
4 |
5.20 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
26 |
102 |
118 |
40 |
59 |
13 |
4 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
27 |
92 |
107 |
35 |
53 |
12 |
3 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
83 |
97 |
31 |
47 |
11 |
3 |
5.13 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
29 |
74 |
87 |
28 |
42 |
10 |
3 |
5.21 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
30 |
67 |
79 |
25 |
37 |
9 |
2 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.