Baseball Projection.com

John Bannister

Age: 25 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 39 42 5 27 26 3 26 24 5.54 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 28 38 25 17 6 4 8.68
20th 31 39 26 19 6 3 7.55
30th 34 39 26 22 5 3 6.35
40th 36 41 27 24 5 3 6.25
50th 39 42 27 26 5 3 5.54
60th 40 42 26 28 5 3 5.40
70th 42 41 26 29 4 2 4.50
80th 43 40 25 31 3 2 3.98
90th 45 39 24 33 3 2 3.80

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 39 41 27 28 5 3 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 35 37 24 25 4 2 5.37 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 32 33 21 23 4 2 5.24 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 29 30 19 20 3 2 5.12 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 26 27 17 18 3 2 5.25 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 23 25 15 16 3 1 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.