Baseball Projection.com

Anthony Barnette

Age: 25 Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 7 95 111 19 39 65 4 65 60 5.68 18 18

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 70 98 37 45 20 5 7.97
20th 77 101 37 50 20 5 7.13
30th 83 104 38 55 19 4 6.51
40th 89 108 38 60 19 4 6.07
50th 95 111 39 65 19 4 5.68
60th 98 110 38 68 18 4 5.33
70th 101 109 37 71 17 3 4.99
80th 104 108 36 75 16 3 4.59
90th 108 105 34 79 14 2 4.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 96 109 38 63 18 4 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 26 86 99 34 56 16 3 5.48 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 27 78 89 30 50 14 3 5.37 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 28 70 81 26 45 13 3 5.47 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 29 63 73 23 40 12 2 5.45 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 30 57 66 21 35 11 2 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.