Baseball Projection.com

Chris Barnwell

Age: 30 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
119	402	50	99	21	2	5	36	9	3	35	75	5	0.246	0.314	0.346	-24	SS	5.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-21	0	264	57	10	0	2	19	55	2	0.216	0.274	0.277
20th	-22	0	298	67	12	1	3	23	60	3	0.225	0.287	0.302
30th	-22	0	334	77	15	1	3	27	66	3	0.231	0.294	0.308
40th	-19	0	368	88	18	1	4	31	71	4	0.239	0.305	0.326
50th	-17	0	402	99	21	2	5	35	75	5	0.246	0.314	0.346
60th	-13	2	431	110	24	2	6	39	79	6	0.255	0.326	0.362
70th	-10	6	457	120	27	3	7	44	81	8	0.263	0.338	0.381
80th	-5	12	486	132	30	3	9	48	84	9	0.272	0.348	0.401
90th	1	19	514	144	34	4	10	53	86	10	0.280	0.359	0.420

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	30	403	99	21	2	5	9	3	34	75	5	0.246	0.312	0.345
2010	31	382	93	20	1	4	8	3	33	71	5	0.243	0.312	0.332
2011	32	362	87	18	1	4	7	3	32	68	5	0.240	0.311	0.329
2012	33	344	81	17	1	4	6	2	30	66	5	0.235	0.306	0.326
2013	34	327	76	15	1	4	5	2	29	64	4	0.232	0.303	0.321
2014	35	310	70	14	1	3	4	2	28	61	4	0.226	0.298	0.306

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	0	0	1	--	--	-8

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.6	7
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.2	0.9

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	5

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.