Alberto Bastardo
Age: 25
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
101 |
107 |
20 |
56 |
66 |
4 |
68 |
63 |
5.61 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
75 |
95 |
52 |
45 |
21 |
5 |
7.80 |
| 20th |
81 |
98 |
53 |
50 |
21 |
5 |
7.22 |
| 30th |
88 |
100 |
54 |
56 |
20 |
5 |
6.44 |
| 40th |
95 |
104 |
55 |
61 |
20 |
4 |
5.97 |
| 50th |
101 |
107 |
56 |
66 |
20 |
4 |
5.61 |
| 60th |
104 |
106 |
55 |
69 |
19 |
4 |
5.19 |
| 70th |
107 |
105 |
54 |
72 |
18 |
3 |
4.79 |
| 80th |
112 |
102 |
52 |
77 |
16 |
2 |
4.18 |
| 90th |
116 |
99 |
50 |
81 |
14 |
1 |
3.65 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
100 |
110 |
56 |
60 |
19 |
4 |
5.75 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
90 |
99 |
49 |
54 |
17 |
4 |
5.72 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
81 |
90 |
44 |
48 |
16 |
4 |
5.84 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
73 |
82 |
38 |
43 |
14 |
3 |
5.77 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
66 |
74 |
34 |
38 |
13 |
3 |
5.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
59 |
66 |
31 |
34 |
11 |
3 |
5.76 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.