Baseball Projection.com

Kendy Batista

Age: 27 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 32 33 4 15 26 2 18 17 4.78 29 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 23 30 15 17 5 3 7.43
20th 26 31 15 19 5 2 6.58
30th 28 31 15 22 4 2 5.46
40th 30 32 15 24 4 2 5.10
50th 32 33 15 26 4 2 4.78
60th 33 33 15 27 4 2 4.64
70th 34 32 14 29 3 2 3.97
80th 36 31 13 31 3 1 3.25
90th 38 30 12 33 2 1 2.61

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 33 32 15 28 4 2 4.37 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 28 30 28 13 25 3 2 4.01 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 29 26 26 12 22 3 2 4.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 24 24 11 20 3 1 4.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 21 21 10 18 2 1 4.35 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 32 19 19 9 16 2 1 4.43 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.