Baseball Projection.com

Colter Bean

Age: 32 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 48 49 5 29 42 3 28 26 4.88 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 43 27 29 6 4 7.00
20th 39 45 27 32 6 4 6.46
30th 42 46 28 36 5 3 5.57
40th 45 48 28 39 5 3 5.20
50th 48 49 29 42 5 3 4.88
60th 49 49 29 44 5 3 4.78
70th 52 48 28 46 4 2 3.98
80th 53 48 27 48 4 2 3.74
90th 56 46 26 51 3 1 3.05

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 48 50 28 44 5 3 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 33 43 45 26 39 5 3 5.15 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 34 39 40 24 34 4 3 4.99 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 34 37 22 30 4 3 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 31 33 20 27 3 2 5.20 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 28 30 18 23 3 2 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.