Travis Beazley
Age: 26
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
113 |
131 |
21 |
44 |
59 |
4 |
75 |
69 |
5.5 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
83 |
117 |
42 |
39 |
23 |
5 |
7.81 |
| 20th |
91 |
121 |
42 |
44 |
23 |
5 |
7.12 |
| 30th |
98 |
123 |
43 |
49 |
22 |
5 |
6.43 |
| 40th |
106 |
128 |
43 |
54 |
22 |
4 |
5.94 |
| 50th |
113 |
131 |
44 |
59 |
21 |
4 |
5.50 |
| 60th |
116 |
130 |
43 |
62 |
20 |
4 |
5.20 |
| 70th |
120 |
128 |
42 |
65 |
18 |
3 |
4.65 |
| 80th |
124 |
126 |
40 |
69 |
16 |
2 |
4.21 |
| 90th |
129 |
122 |
38 |
74 |
14 |
1 |
3.70 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
113 |
130 |
44 |
64 |
22 |
4 |
5.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
102 |
117 |
39 |
57 |
20 |
3 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
92 |
106 |
34 |
51 |
18 |
3 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
83 |
95 |
30 |
46 |
16 |
3 |
5.41 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2013 |
30 |
74 |
86 |
28 |
40 |
15 |
3 |
5.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
67 |
77 |
26 |
36 |
13 |
2 |
5.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.