Josh Beckett
Age: 29
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 12 |
7 |
177 |
172 |
19 |
40 |
161 |
7 |
77 |
71 |
3.61 |
27 |
27 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
136 |
147 |
37 |
119 |
19 |
8 |
4.50 |
| 20th |
147 |
154 |
37 |
130 |
19 |
7 |
4.16 |
| 30th |
157 |
159 |
38 |
141 |
19 |
7 |
3.96 |
| 40th |
167 |
166 |
39 |
151 |
19 |
7 |
3.77 |
| 50th |
177 |
172 |
40 |
161 |
19 |
7 |
3.61 |
| 60th |
181 |
172 |
39 |
166 |
18 |
7 |
3.43 |
| 70th |
185 |
172 |
39 |
171 |
17 |
6 |
3.31 |
| 80th |
190 |
170 |
38 |
177 |
16 |
6 |
3.08 |
| 90th |
195 |
169 |
36 |
184 |
15 |
5 |
2.86 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 43 |
4.1 |
18.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
178 |
168 |
40 |
175 |
20 |
7 |
3.54 |
1.0 |
4.1 |
18.0 |
| 2010 |
30 |
160 |
151 |
37 |
155 |
18 |
7 |
3.57 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
17.5 |
| 2011 |
31 |
144 |
136 |
34 |
138 |
16 |
6 |
3.57 |
1.0 |
3.2 |
17.2 |
| 2012 |
32 |
129 |
123 |
31 |
122 |
14 |
5 |
3.60 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
16.7 |
| 2013 |
33 |
116 |
112 |
28 |
108 |
13 |
5 |
3.69 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
16.0 |
| 2014 |
34 |
104 |
101 |
26 |
95 |
12 |
4 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
14.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.