Baseball Projection.com

Ronald Belizario

Age: 26 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 37 42 8 21 23 2 27 25 6.08 35 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 27 38 20 15 9 3 9.33
20th 29 40 20 17 9 2 8.69
30th 32 40 20 19 8 2 7.31
40th 35 41 21 21 8 2 6.43
50th 37 42 21 23 8 2 6.08
60th 39 41 20 24 7 2 5.31
70th 40 41 20 26 7 2 5.18
80th 42 40 19 27 6 1 4.29
90th 44 38 18 29 5 1 3.68

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 37 43 21 21 8 2 6.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 33 39 19 19 7 2 6.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 30 35 16 17 6 1 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 27 32 14 15 6 1 6.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 24 29 13 13 5 1 6.37 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 22 26 12 12 5 1 6.39 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.