Baseball Projection.com

Mike Bell

Age: 24 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
118	429	54	99	22	3	9	55	5	2	23	88	3	0.231	0.275	0.359	-35	2B	4.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	17	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.176	0.222	0.235
20th	-13	0	122	25	5	0	2	5	27	0	0.205	0.236	0.295
30th	-19	0	225	47	10	1	3	11	49	1	0.209	0.249	0.302
40th	-25	0	327	72	15	2	6	17	69	2	0.220	0.263	0.333
50th	-25	0	429	99	22	3	9	23	88	3	0.231	0.275	0.359
60th	-21	0	461	110	25	3	10	27	91	3	0.239	0.285	0.371
70th	-15	2	491	122	29	4	12	31	94	4	0.248	0.298	0.397
80th	-8	10	522	135	33	5	14	35	97	5	0.259	0.311	0.421
90th	-2	17	553	149	38	6	17	39	99	6	0.269	0.324	0.452

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	430	99	22	3	8	5	2	22	86	3	0.230	0.273	0.351
2010	25	430	100	23	2	8	5	2	22	84	3	0.233	0.275	0.351
2011	26	429	100	23	2	8	4	2	23	81	3	0.233	0.277	0.352
2012	27	428	100	23	2	9	4	2	24	81	3	0.234	0.279	0.360
2013	28	428	99	23	2	9	4	2	24	81	3	0.231	0.277	0.357
2014	29	427	97	22	2	9	4	2	25	81	3	0.227	0.275	0.351

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-6	-6	--	1	-7	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1	4.4
Good (+7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	9

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.