Trevor Bell
Age: 22
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
82 |
101 |
15 |
46 |
41 |
4 |
63 |
58 |
6.37 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
91 |
44 |
26 |
17 |
5 |
9.61 |
| 20th |
65 |
93 |
44 |
30 |
17 |
5 |
8.45 |
| 30th |
71 |
95 |
45 |
33 |
16 |
5 |
7.48 |
| 40th |
76 |
99 |
45 |
37 |
16 |
4 |
6.99 |
| 50th |
82 |
101 |
46 |
41 |
15 |
4 |
6.37 |
| 60th |
85 |
100 |
45 |
43 |
14 |
4 |
5.93 |
| 70th |
88 |
99 |
44 |
46 |
13 |
3 |
5.42 |
| 80th |
92 |
96 |
42 |
50 |
11 |
2 |
4.60 |
| 90th |
96 |
93 |
39 |
54 |
9 |
1 |
3.94 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
82 |
100 |
47 |
44 |
16 |
4 |
6.44 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
74 |
90 |
41 |
40 |
14 |
3 |
6.30 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
67 |
81 |
36 |
37 |
13 |
3 |
6.26 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
61 |
72 |
32 |
34 |
11 |
3 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
55 |
66 |
28 |
30 |
10 |
2 |
6.02 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
49 |
59 |
25 |
27 |
9 |
2 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.