Baseball Projection.com

Jeff Bennett

Age: 29 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 63 62 4 28 47 3 30 28 4 55 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 47 54 26 33 5 4 5.55
20th 52 56 26 37 5 3 4.85
30th 55 58 27 40 4 3 4.58
40th 59 60 27 44 4 3 4.27
50th 63 62 28 47 4 3 4.00
60th 64 62 28 49 4 3 3.80
70th 67 61 27 51 3 2 3.36
80th 69 61 26 53 3 2 3.13
90th 71 59 25 56 2 2 2.66

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 62 64 28 44 4 3 4.20 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 30 56 58 26 39 4 3 4.32 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 31 50 52 23 34 3 3 4.26 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 32 45 47 22 30 3 2 4.37 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 33 40 42 20 27 3 2 4.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 36 38 18 24 2 2 4.40 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.