Baseball Projection.com

Martin Beno

Age: 22 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 26 29 5 30 20 2 24 22 7.62 27 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 18 26 28 13 6 3 12.50
20th 20 27 28 15 6 2 10.80
30th 22 27 29 16 5 2 9.00
40th 24 28 29 18 5 2 8.25
50th 26 29 30 20 5 2 7.62
60th 26 29 30 21 5 2 7.62
70th 28 28 29 22 4 2 6.11
80th 29 28 28 24 4 1 5.90
90th 31 26 27 26 3 1 4.65

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 26 29 30 19 5 2 7.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 23 27 26 18 5 1 8.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 21 24 23 16 4 1 7.57 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 19 21 21 15 4 1 7.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 18 19 18 13 3 1 6.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 15 18 16 12 3 1 7.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.