Baseball Projection.com

Joaquin Benoit

Age: 31 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 64 60 6 35 62 2 32 30 4.22 57 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 48 54 32 43 7 3 5.81
20th 52 55 33 48 7 3 5.37
30th 57 56 33 53 6 2 4.58
40th 61 58 34 58 6 2 4.43
50th 64 60 35 62 6 2 4.22
60th 66 60 34 65 6 2 3.95
70th 68 59 34 67 5 1 3.57
80th 70 58 33 70 4 1 3.21
90th 73 56 31 74 3 1 2.59

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 65 57 35 67 5 2 3.74 1.0 0.6 2.5
2010 32 59 51 32 60 5 2 3.75 1.0 0.6 2.8
2011 33 52 46 30 52 4 2 3.89 1.0 0.4 2.0
2012 34 47 42 27 46 4 2 4.00 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 35 42 38 25 41 4 1 4.13 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 36 38 34 23 36 3 1 3.99 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.