Baseball Projection.com

Kris Benson

Age: 34 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 5 75 92 12 25 36 3 50 46 5.52 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 55 81 24 23 13 4 7.69
20th 60 84 24 27 13 4 7.05
30th 65 87 24 30 13 3 6.51
40th 70 89 25 33 12 3 5.91
50th 75 92 25 36 12 3 5.52
60th 77 91 24 38 11 3 5.03
70th 79 90 24 40 10 2 4.78
80th 82 89 22 43 9 2 4.28
90th 85 87 21 46 8 1 3.81

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 76 89 25 39 11 3 5.13 1.0 0.4 1.7
2010 35 68 80 23 34 10 3 5.21 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 36 61 73 21 30 9 2 5.30 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 37 55 65 19 27 8 2 5.22 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 38 49 59 18 23 7 2 5.40 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 39 44 53 16 21 7 2 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.