Chad Billingsley
Age: 24
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 10 |
8 |
161 |
147 |
14 |
67 |
156 |
6 |
71 |
66 |
3.69 |
30 |
30 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
124 |
125 |
59 |
116 |
14 |
7 |
4.50 |
| 20th |
133 |
131 |
61 |
126 |
14 |
6 |
4.26 |
| 30th |
142 |
136 |
63 |
136 |
14 |
6 |
4.06 |
| 40th |
151 |
142 |
65 |
146 |
14 |
6 |
3.93 |
| 50th |
161 |
147 |
67 |
156 |
14 |
6 |
3.69 |
| 60th |
164 |
147 |
67 |
160 |
13 |
6 |
3.57 |
| 70th |
168 |
147 |
66 |
165 |
13 |
5 |
3.38 |
| 80th |
173 |
146 |
65 |
171 |
12 |
5 |
3.12 |
| 90th |
177 |
145 |
64 |
177 |
11 |
4 |
2.90 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 29 |
2.8 |
12.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
158 |
154 |
67 |
143 |
14 |
6 |
4.01 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
12.2 |
| 2010 |
25 |
143 |
139 |
59 |
129 |
12 |
5 |
3.92 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
12.9 |
| 2011 |
26 |
129 |
126 |
52 |
115 |
11 |
5 |
3.94 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
12.7 |
| 2012 |
27 |
116 |
114 |
46 |
103 |
10 |
4 |
3.95 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
12.3 |
| 2013 |
28 |
104 |
103 |
41 |
92 |
9 |
4 |
3.99 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
11.7 |
| 2014 |
29 |
94 |
93 |
36 |
82 |
8 |
3 |
3.93 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
12.1 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.