Baseball Projection.com

Tim Bittner

Age: 29 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 49 56 7 31 31 2 34 31 5.69 46 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 49 29 21 8 3 8.25
20th 39 51 29 24 8 2 7.38
30th 43 52 30 26 7 2 6.49
40th 46 54 30 29 7 2 6.07
50th 49 56 31 31 7 2 5.69
60th 50 55 31 32 6 2 5.40
70th 52 55 30 34 6 2 5.02
80th 54 54 29 36 5 1 4.50
90th 56 53 28 38 4 1 3.86

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 49 56 31 29 7 2 5.83 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 44 51 28 26 6 2 5.89 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 39 46 26 23 6 1 6.15 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 35 41 24 20 5 1 6.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 31 37 22 18 5 1 6.43 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 28 33 20 16 4 1 6.24 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.