Baseball Projection.com

Luis Bolivar

Age: 28 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
119	377	48	90	18	3	7	36	11	4	22	93	4	0.239	0.288	0.358	-32	3B	6.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-32	0	305	62	11	1	3	14	83	1	0.203	0.241	0.275
20th	-30	0	323	69	12	2	4	16	86	2	0.214	0.255	0.300
30th	-27	0	342	76	14	2	5	18	89	2	0.222	0.265	0.319
40th	-24	0	359	83	16	3	6	20	91	3	0.231	0.277	0.343
50th	-21	0	377	90	18	3	7	22	93	4	0.239	0.288	0.358
60th	-17	0	403	100	21	4	8	25	97	5	0.248	0.300	0.380
70th	-13	2	430	110	23	5	9	28	101	6	0.256	0.310	0.395
80th	-8	8	455	121	26	6	11	32	104	7	0.266	0.324	0.422
90th	-3	14	482	133	30	8	13	35	107	8	0.276	0.335	0.452

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	28	378	89	18	3	6	11	4	21	94	4	0.235	0.283	0.347
2010	29	377	87	17	3	6	10	4	22	95	4	0.231	0.280	0.340
2011	30	358	82	17	3	5	9	3	21	90	4	0.229	0.279	0.335
2012	31	340	78	16	2	5	8	3	21	85	3	0.229	0.280	0.332
2013	32	323	73	14	2	5	7	2	20	82	3	0.226	0.277	0.328
2014	33	307	68	14	2	4	6	2	19	79	3	0.221	0.274	0.319

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-2	-4	-8	-12	4	-4	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.9	4
Good (+7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	2

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.