Baseball Projection.com

Henry Bonilla

Age: 30 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 60 65 7 25 40 2 34 31 4.65 53 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 57 23 28 8 2 6.40
20th 49 59 23 31 8 2 5.69
30th 53 61 24 34 7 2 5.26
40th 56 63 24 37 7 2 4.98
50th 60 65 25 40 7 2 4.65
60th 61 65 25 42 7 2 4.57
70th 63 64 24 43 6 2 4.14
80th 65 63 24 45 5 1 3.74
90th 67 62 23 48 5 1 3.49

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 61 63 25 43 7 2 4.46 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 31 54 58 23 38 7 2 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 32 48 52 21 33 6 2 4.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 33 43 47 20 29 5 1 4.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 34 39 42 18 26 5 1 4.89 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 35 35 38 17 23 4 1 4.91 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.