Baseball Projection.com

Chris Booker

Age: 32 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 38 33 5 26 45 2 21 19 4.5 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 27 31 25 30 6 3 7.33
20th 30 31 25 34 6 2 6.30
30th 33 31 25 38 5 2 5.18
40th 35 32 26 41 5 2 4.89
50th 38 33 26 45 5 2 4.50
60th 39 33 25 47 5 2 4.38
70th 40 32 25 49 4 2 3.83
80th 42 30 24 52 3 1 3.00
90th 44 30 22 55 3 1 2.66

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 37 34 26 42 5 2 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 33 34 31 24 37 5 1 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 34 30 28 22 33 4 1 4.93 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 27 25 20 29 4 1 5.03 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 24 23 18 25 3 1 5.07 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 22 20 17 22 3 1 4.97 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.