Kip Bouknight
Age: 30
Team: PHI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
6 |
107 |
115 |
20 |
47 |
54 |
5 |
68 |
63 |
5.3 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
80 |
101 |
43 |
37 |
21 |
6 |
7.09 |
| 20th |
87 |
104 |
44 |
41 |
20 |
6 |
6.41 |
| 30th |
94 |
107 |
45 |
46 |
20 |
5 |
5.94 |
| 40th |
101 |
111 |
46 |
50 |
20 |
5 |
5.52 |
| 50th |
107 |
115 |
47 |
54 |
20 |
5 |
5.30 |
| 60th |
110 |
114 |
46 |
56 |
19 |
5 |
4.91 |
| 70th |
113 |
114 |
46 |
59 |
18 |
4 |
4.62 |
| 80th |
117 |
112 |
44 |
62 |
17 |
4 |
4.31 |
| 90th |
120 |
110 |
43 |
65 |
15 |
3 |
3.83 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
105 |
120 |
47 |
50 |
19 |
5 |
5.61 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
31 |
94 |
108 |
43 |
44 |
17 |
5 |
5.68 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
32 |
85 |
97 |
40 |
39 |
15 |
4 |
5.63 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
33 |
76 |
87 |
36 |
35 |
14 |
4 |
5.73 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
34 |
69 |
78 |
33 |
31 |
12 |
3 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
35 |
61 |
71 |
31 |
27 |
11 |
3 |
5.89 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.