Baseball Projection.com

Michael Bourn

Age: 26 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
130	386	61	97	14	6	4	29	29	7	37	89	2	0.251	0.320	0.350	-24	CF	8.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-21	0	256	56	7	2	1	20	64	0	0.219	0.275	0.273
20th	-21	0	290	66	8	3	2	24	71	0	0.228	0.287	0.297
30th	-21	0	322	76	10	4	3	28	78	1	0.236	0.299	0.320
40th	-19	0	354	87	12	4	4	33	83	1	0.246	0.312	0.336
50th	-16	0	386	97	14	6	4	37	89	2	0.251	0.320	0.350
60th	-13	1	403	104	15	6	5	40	91	2	0.258	0.328	0.362
70th	-9	6	420	112	17	7	6	44	92	2	0.267	0.339	0.383
80th	-5	11	436	120	18	9	7	47	93	3	0.275	0.350	0.406
90th	0	16	453	128	20	10	8	51	95	3	0.283	0.359	0.424

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	387	96	14	5	4	29	7	36	89	2	0.248	0.315	0.341
2010	27	386	96	14	5	4	28	7	37	88	2	0.249	0.318	0.342
2011	28	385	94	14	5	4	26	7	38	88	2	0.244	0.315	0.338
2012	29	384	93	14	4	4	25	6	39	88	2	0.242	0.315	0.331
2013	30	365	88	13	4	4	22	6	38	84	1	0.241	0.314	0.332
2014	31	346	83	13	3	4	19	5	37	80	1	0.240	0.315	0.329

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	7	0	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.3	5.7
Good (+7 runs)	0.9	4
Average (0 runs)	0.6	2.6
Poor (-7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	13

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.