Baseball Projection.com

Blaine Boyer

Age: 27 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 59 56 5 25 53 2 27 25 3.81 51 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 44 50 23 37 6 3 5.52
20th 47 52 24 41 6 2 5.17
30th 51 53 24 45 5 2 4.59
40th 55 54 25 49 5 2 4.09
50th 59 56 25 53 5 2 3.81
60th 60 56 25 55 5 2 3.75
70th 62 55 24 57 4 2 3.34
80th 64 54 23 60 3 1 2.81
90th 66 53 22 63 3 1 2.59

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 58 58 25 49 5 2 4.13 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 28 52 53 22 44 5 2 4.28 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 29 47 47 19 39 4 2 4.08 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 30 42 43 18 35 4 2 4.34 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 31 38 39 16 31 3 1 4.16 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 32 34 35 15 27 3 1 4.30 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.