Baseball Projection.com

Chad Bradford

Age: 34 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 56 59 3 16 26 2 25 23 3.7 65 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 52 16 17 4 3 5.36
20th 45 54 16 19 4 3 5.00
30th 49 55 16 22 3 2 4.22
40th 53 57 16 24 3 2 3.91
50th 56 59 16 26 3 2 3.70
60th 57 59 16 27 3 2 3.63
70th 59 58 15 29 2 1 3.05
80th 61 57 14 31 2 1 2.80
90th 64 55 13 33 1 1 2.39

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 56 60 16 27 3 2 3.84 1.0 0.5 2.1
2010 35 50 55 14 24 3 2 4.02 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 36 45 49 13 21 2 2 3.89 1.0 0.4 2.0
2012 37 40 44 12 19 2 2 4.03 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 38 36 40 11 16 2 2 4.16 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 39 33 36 10 14 2 1 4.02 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.