Baseball Projection.com

Yhency Brazoban

Age: 29 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 25 25 4 10 20 1 14 13 4.68 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 18 24 10 13 5 1 7.50
20th 20 24 10 15 5 1 6.75
30th 21 24 10 17 4 1 5.57
40th 23 25 10 18 4 1 5.09
50th 25 25 10 20 4 1 4.68
60th 25 25 10 21 4 1 4.68
70th 26 24 9 22 3 1 3.81
80th 27 23 9 23 3 1 3.33
90th 29 22 8 25 2 0 2.48

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 24 26 10 18 4 1 5.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 22 23 9 16 3 1 4.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 20 21 8 14 3 1 4.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 17 19 8 13 3 1 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 16 17 7 11 3 1 5.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 14 16 6 10 2 0 5.13 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.