Lance Broadway
Age: 25
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
10 |
142 |
177 |
26 |
59 |
84 |
4 |
102 |
94 |
5.96 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
108 |
151 |
53 |
60 |
25 |
5 |
7.42 |
| 20th |
117 |
157 |
54 |
66 |
25 |
5 |
6.85 |
| 30th |
125 |
164 |
56 |
72 |
26 |
4 |
6.62 |
| 40th |
134 |
171 |
57 |
78 |
26 |
4 |
6.25 |
| 50th |
142 |
177 |
59 |
84 |
26 |
4 |
5.96 |
| 60th |
146 |
177 |
58 |
87 |
25 |
4 |
5.67 |
| 70th |
149 |
177 |
58 |
90 |
24 |
3 |
5.44 |
| 80th |
153 |
176 |
57 |
94 |
23 |
3 |
5.12 |
| 90th |
158 |
174 |
55 |
99 |
21 |
2 |
4.67 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
145 |
168 |
58 |
90 |
22 |
4 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
26 |
131 |
152 |
51 |
80 |
20 |
4 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
27 |
118 |
138 |
45 |
72 |
18 |
3 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
28 |
106 |
124 |
40 |
64 |
16 |
3 |
5.25 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
29 |
95 |
113 |
35 |
57 |
15 |
3 |
5.38 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
30 |
86 |
101 |
32 |
51 |
13 |
2 |
5.24 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.