Baseball Projection.com

Richard Brooks

Age: 24 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 39 47 8 22 30 2 30 28 6.46 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 28 43 21 19 9 3 9.96
20th 31 44 21 22 9 2 8.71
30th 33 45 21 25 8 2 7.91
40th 36 46 22 27 8 2 7.25
50th 39 47 22 30 8 2 6.46
60th 40 46 21 32 7 2 5.85
70th 42 46 21 34 7 1 5.36
80th 43 44 20 36 6 1 4.60
90th 46 42 18 39 5 1 3.72

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 39 45 22 32 7 2 5.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 36 40 19 29 6 2 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 32 37 17 26 6 1 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 29 33 15 23 5 1 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 26 30 13 21 5 1 5.83 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 23 27 12 18 4 1 5.89 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.