Baseball Projection.com

Garrett Broshuis

Age: 27 Team: SFN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	10	137	167	23	47	72	5	92	85	5.58	25	25

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	104	144	43	51	24	6	7.10
20th	112	149	44	56	23	6	6.59
30th	121	155	45	62	23	5	6.10
40th	129	161	46	67	23	5	5.79
50th	137	167	47	72	23	5	5.58
60th	141	167	46	75	22	5	5.23
70th	145	166	46	78	21	4	4.97
80th	149	165	44	81	19	4	4.59
90th	154	162	43	86	17	3	4.15

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 137 169 47 69 25 5 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4

2010 28 123 153 42 61 23 4 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4

2011 29 111 138 37 54 21 4 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4

2012 30 99 125 34 48 19 3 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 31 89 112 31 43 17 3 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4

2014 32 80 101 29 38 15 3 5.98 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
5	0.5	2.6

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	Value ($mil)
2009	27	137	169	47	69	25	5	5.73	1.0	0.4
2010	28	123	153	42	61	23	4	5.80	1.0	0.4
2011	29	111	138	37	54	21	4	5.80	1.0	0.4
2012	30	99	125	34	48	19	3	5.92	1.0	0.4
2013	31	89	112	31	43	17	3	5.92	1.0	0.4
2014	32	80	101	29	38	15	3	5.98	1.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.