Baseball Projection.com

Brooks Brown

Age: 24 Team: ARI

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
4	8	107	123	17	62	71	5	75	69	5.8	21	21

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	80	107	56	50	18	6	7.76
20th	87	110	57	55	17	6	7.03
30th	94	114	59	61	17	5	6.51
40th	100	119	60	66	17	5	6.12
50th	107	123	62	71	17	5	5.80
60th	110	122	61	74	16	5	5.48
70th	113	122	61	77	15	4	5.18
80th	117	121	59	81	14	3	4.69
90th	121	119	58	85	13	3	4.31

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 108 121 61 68 16 5 5.57 1.0 0.0 0.4

2010 25 98 108 54 62 14 5 5.41 1.0 0.2 0.9

2011 26 88 99 47 55 13 4 5.50 1.0 0.0 0.4

2012 27 79 89 42 49 12 4 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 28 71 80 37 44 10 4 5.46 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 29 64 73 33 39 10 3 5.59 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
6	0.6	3.0

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	108	121	61	68	16	5	5.57	1.0	0.0	0.4
2010	25	98	108	54	62	14	5	5.41	1.0	0.2	0.9
2011	26	88	99	47	55	13	4	5.50	1.0	0.0	0.4
2012	27	79	89	42	49	12	4	5.55	1.0	0.0	0.4
2013	28	71	80	37	44	10	4	5.46	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	29	64	73	33	39	10	3	5.59	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.