Robert Brownlie
Age: 28
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
8 |
97 |
116 |
21 |
41 |
59 |
4 |
70 |
65 |
6.03 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
73 |
101 |
38 |
41 |
21 |
5 |
7.89 |
| 20th |
79 |
105 |
38 |
46 |
21 |
5 |
7.29 |
| 30th |
85 |
109 |
39 |
50 |
21 |
4 |
6.78 |
| 40th |
91 |
112 |
40 |
55 |
21 |
4 |
6.33 |
| 50th |
97 |
116 |
41 |
59 |
21 |
4 |
6.03 |
| 60th |
100 |
116 |
40 |
61 |
20 |
4 |
5.67 |
| 70th |
103 |
115 |
40 |
64 |
19 |
3 |
5.24 |
| 80th |
106 |
113 |
39 |
67 |
18 |
3 |
4.84 |
| 90th |
110 |
111 |
37 |
71 |
16 |
2 |
4.34 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
97 |
117 |
41 |
55 |
21 |
4 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
29 |
88 |
105 |
36 |
49 |
19 |
4 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
30 |
79 |
95 |
33 |
43 |
17 |
3 |
6.01 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
31 |
70 |
86 |
30 |
39 |
16 |
3 |
6.28 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
32 |
63 |
77 |
28 |
34 |
14 |
3 |
6.27 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
33 |
56 |
70 |
26 |
30 |
13 |
2 |
6.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.