Jonathan Broxton
Age: 25
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
3 |
72 |
57 |
5 |
26 |
87 |
2 |
25 |
23 |
2.88 |
70 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
54 |
51 |
24 |
63 |
6 |
3 |
4.17 |
| 20th |
59 |
52 |
25 |
69 |
6 |
3 |
3.66 |
| 30th |
63 |
54 |
25 |
75 |
5 |
2 |
3.29 |
| 40th |
68 |
55 |
26 |
81 |
5 |
2 |
3.04 |
| 50th |
72 |
57 |
26 |
87 |
5 |
2 |
2.88 |
| 60th |
74 |
57 |
25 |
90 |
5 |
2 |
2.68 |
| 70th |
76 |
56 |
25 |
93 |
4 |
1 |
2.37 |
| 80th |
78 |
55 |
24 |
97 |
4 |
1 |
2.19 |
| 90th |
81 |
53 |
23 |
101 |
3 |
1 |
1.89 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.9 |
8.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
71 |
60 |
26 |
80 |
5 |
2 |
3.11 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
8.2 |
| 2010 |
26 |
64 |
54 |
23 |
71 |
4 |
2 |
3.04 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
9.5 |
| 2011 |
27 |
58 |
49 |
20 |
64 |
4 |
2 |
3.07 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
8.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
51 |
45 |
18 |
57 |
4 |
2 |
3.33 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
5.5 |
| 2013 |
29 |
46 |
40 |
16 |
50 |
3 |
2 |
3.18 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
7.7 |
| 2014 |
30 |
42 |
37 |
14 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
3.19 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
7.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.