Baseball Projection.com

Jay Bruce

Age: 22 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
128	493	78	136	26	4	27	77	10	5	40	139	3	0.276	0.334	0.509	4	OF	4.8

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	0	1	20	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0.250	0.286	0.450
20th	-5	0	140	35	6	1	6	10	42	0	0.250	0.300	0.436
30th	-6	3	259	67	12	2	12	19	76	1	0.259	0.312	0.459
40th	-3	10	376	100	19	3	19	29	108	2	0.266	0.322	0.484
50th	3	20	493	136	26	4	27	40	139	3	0.276	0.334	0.509
60th	11	29	517	148	29	5	30	44	142	3	0.286	0.346	0.536
70th	18	37	539	159	32	6	33	48	145	4	0.295	0.357	0.560
80th	26	46	561	171	36	7	36	53	148	5	0.305	0.370	0.586
90th	35	56	584	184	39	8	40	57	150	6	0.315	0.382	0.615

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	22	494	133	26	4	23	10	5	39	140	3	0.269	0.326	0.478
2010	23	491	135	27	4	23	11	6	42	138	3	0.275	0.336	0.487
2011	24	489	138	29	4	24	11	6	44	132	3	0.282	0.345	0.505
2012	25	487	139	29	4	25	11	6	46	128	3	0.285	0.351	0.515
2013	26	486	140	30	4	25	11	5	47	125	3	0.288	0.354	0.521
2014	27	484	140	30	3	26	10	5	49	124	3	0.289	0.358	0.525

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	3	-5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.8	12.3
Good (+7 runs)	2.2	9.7
Average (0 runs)	1.8	7.9
Poor (-7 runs)	1.3	5.7
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.9	4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	13	34
12 team AL or NL only	1	20	41

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.