Baseball Projection.com

Greg Buchanan

Age: 25 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
114	416	43	88	17	3	2	41	8	3	22	98	2	0.212	0.255	0.281	-53	2B	6

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0.176	0.222	0.176
20th	-16	118	21	3	0	0	5	31	0	0.178	0.211	0.203
30th	-26	219	42	7	1	1	10	55	0	0.192	0.227	0.247
40th	-32	318	64	12	2	1	15	77	1	0.201	0.240	0.261
50th	-38	416	88	17	3	2	22	98	2	0.212	0.255	0.281
60th	-34	451	101	21	3	3	26	102	2	0.224	0.269	0.304
70th	-30	485	114	25	5	4	30	106	3	0.235	0.284	0.332
80th	-25	520	128	29	6	5	34	109	4	0.246	0.297	0.354
90th	-20	553	142	33	8	6	39	112	5	0.257	0.312	0.378

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	25	417	88	17	3	2	7	3	21	97	2	0.211	0.252	0.281
2010	26	416	88	17	2	2	7	3	22	95	2	0.212	0.255	0.276
2011	27	415	88	18	2	2	7	2	23	94	2	0.212	0.257	0.280
2012	28	415	87	18	2	2	7	2	23	94	2	0.210	0.255	0.277
2013	29	414	85	17	2	2	6	2	24	94	2	0.205	0.252	0.271
2014	30	393	80	16	2	2	6	2	23	90	2	0.204	0.251	0.270

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-4	--	-7	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.3	1.3
Good (+7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Average (0 runs)	0	0.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.