Taylor Buchholz
Age: 27
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
3 |
72 |
72 |
6 |
20 |
61 |
2 |
32 |
30 |
3.75 |
60 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
54 |
63 |
19 |
43 |
7 |
3 |
5.17 |
| 20th |
59 |
66 |
19 |
48 |
7 |
2 |
4.73 |
| 30th |
63 |
67 |
19 |
53 |
6 |
2 |
4.14 |
| 40th |
68 |
69 |
20 |
57 |
6 |
2 |
3.84 |
| 50th |
72 |
72 |
20 |
61 |
6 |
2 |
3.75 |
| 60th |
73 |
72 |
20 |
63 |
6 |
2 |
3.70 |
| 70th |
75 |
71 |
19 |
66 |
5 |
2 |
3.36 |
| 80th |
78 |
70 |
18 |
69 |
4 |
1 |
2.88 |
| 90th |
80 |
69 |
17 |
72 |
4 |
1 |
2.70 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
72 |
70 |
20 |
61 |
6 |
2 |
3.58 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
3.9 |
| 2010 |
28 |
65 |
64 |
17 |
54 |
5 |
2 |
3.55 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
| 2011 |
29 |
58 |
58 |
15 |
48 |
5 |
2 |
3.69 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
3.2 |
| 2012 |
30 |
52 |
52 |
14 |
43 |
4 |
2 |
3.66 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
3.6 |
| 2013 |
31 |
47 |
47 |
13 |
38 |
4 |
2 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
| 2014 |
32 |
42 |
42 |
12 |
34 |
3 |
1 |
3.63 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
3.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.