Mark Buehrle
Age: 30
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 10 |
11 |
191 |
219 |
23 |
48 |
116 |
6 |
105 |
97 |
4.57 |
30 |
30 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
147 |
186 |
43 |
85 |
23 |
7 |
5.57 |
| 20th |
158 |
194 |
44 |
93 |
23 |
6 |
5.24 |
| 30th |
169 |
202 |
45 |
101 |
23 |
6 |
4.95 |
| 40th |
180 |
211 |
47 |
108 |
23 |
6 |
4.80 |
| 50th |
191 |
219 |
48 |
116 |
23 |
6 |
4.57 |
| 60th |
195 |
219 |
47 |
120 |
22 |
6 |
4.38 |
| 70th |
199 |
220 |
47 |
124 |
21 |
5 |
4.21 |
| 80th |
204 |
219 |
46 |
128 |
20 |
5 |
4.01 |
| 90th |
210 |
218 |
44 |
134 |
19 |
4 |
3.73 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 34 |
3.2 |
14.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
195 |
208 |
47 |
124 |
19 |
6 |
4.02 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
15.1 |
| 2010 |
31 |
174 |
189 |
44 |
109 |
18 |
5 |
4.18 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
12.9 |
| 2011 |
32 |
156 |
170 |
40 |
97 |
16 |
5 |
4.21 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
12.7 |
| 2012 |
33 |
141 |
153 |
37 |
86 |
14 |
4 |
4.17 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
12.8 |
| 2013 |
34 |
126 |
139 |
34 |
75 |
13 |
4 |
4.31 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
11.7 |
| 2014 |
35 |
113 |
125 |
31 |
67 |
12 |
3 |
4.35 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
10.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.