Baseball Projection.com

Francisley Bueno

Age: 28 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 5 85 93 14 30 53 3 51 47 4.98 16 16

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 64 82 28 37 15 4 6.61
20th 69 85 28 41 15 4 6.13
30th 75 87 29 45 14 3 5.52
40th 80 90 29 49 14 3 5.18
50th 85 93 30 53 14 3 4.98
60th 88 92 29 55 13 3 4.50
70th 90 92 29 58 13 2 4.30
80th 93 90 28 60 11 2 3.87
90th 96 88 27 64 10 1 3.47

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 84 96 30 49 15 3 5.30 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 29 76 86 26 44 13 3 5.16 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 30 68 78 24 39 12 3 5.32 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 31 61 70 22 35 11 2 5.33 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 32 55 64 20 31 10 2 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 33 49 57 19 27 9 2 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.